Monday, May 10, 2010

Monday 10 May

I still have small parts of positions running from last week but I am mostly watching to see how everything shakes out after last weeks big moves.  This morning I am watching for short opportunities on the JPY crosses and perhaps a countertrend long in crude in the US session.

AUDUSD balance stopped out 0.9020 (+0.25R)
AUDJPY balance stopped out 85.05 (+0.25R)
USDJPY short 93.30 stop 93.55 - addition
GBPJPY short 140.20 stop 140.60 - addition
CRUDE short 77.70 stop 78.20 - addition - gap fill I hope
EURUSD short 128.75 stop 129.25 - addition, gap fill
EURUSD short addition closed 127.65 gap filled (+2.2R)
CRUDE closed 50% @3R 76.20 (+1.5R)
GBPJPY short addition closed 50% @3R 138.70 (+1.5R)

Open trades:
CRUDE short 86.75 stop 87.15 + 79.70 stop 80.20 - both 1/4
CRUDE short 77.70 stop 78.20 - 1/2
EURUSD short 1.3110 stop 1.3135 PT 1.30 - 1/4
USDJPY short 93.75 stop 94 - 1/4
USDJPY short 93.30 stop 93.55 
GBPJPY short 140.90 stop 141.40 - 1/4
GBPJPY short 140.20 stop 140.60 - 1/2

23 comments:

  1. mornin Nic, looks like theyre all ready to keel over again

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  2. Looks like a runaway train. Better levels to sell I guess :)
    Like Macro-man says, "whose payin"?

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  3. Nic,

    I'm in about the same boat as you, some positions still running, I'm shopping for puts today.

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  4. Excuse me for being a sceptic, but if it took 5 months and near financial armageddon to get the greek aid thing sorted, they can plan and announce whatever they want...I´ll believe it when i see it..

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  5. easy ej trade, hope you hit it

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  6. I took GJ and UJ. I wish I had EJ, but I looked at EURGBP and thought it has gone in straight line and might correct. Oh well.

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  7. World Bond yields (10yr) change: US (+13bps); GER (+18); UK (+10); SPN (-50); IT (-30); GRC (-570); POR (-138).

    EUR is only going one way based on these numbers

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  8. these stocks really annoying me...

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  9. Yeah that 1150 is strong support SPX. Everything else looks like it wants to dip

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  10. Watch Sterling - Gordon Brown about to speak

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  11. Gordon Brown stepping down isn't really good news. It clears the way politically for Clegg to do a deal with Labour and so even though the conservatives have the most votes we could have a LIB/LAB pact.

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  12. thanks for that, natty goin bezerk after this eurozone gazillion fund announcement, cant see it lasting though given the demand n supply fundamentals.

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  13. Natty ... you are welcome to it! Ugh

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  14. they are definitely trying to hold this dow up...

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  16. So this makes me even more suspicious of the moves last week. Looks like the US told Goldmans, Morgan etc to set some orders to buy 1000 pips below the market then spook the hell out of everyone and clear the stops. I think the Black Boxes theory is a sham; Obama spoke with Merkel and Sarkosy and told them to hold the Euro up to protect the recovery - all this seems a bit fishy to me...I'm not Michael Moore by the way! So where exactly is all this 'FREE money coming from? I guess we'll see a repeat of last year's US Eq rise now? Another year of rocketing markets all backed by the free money printing press? Bill Boner has it all right in The Daily Reckoning surely?? This is all screwed me thinks??

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  17. grim, just get long tin foil hats n trading diapers m8...think this is just the beginning....how many big gap opens have we see in the eur over the past few months when we had Euro goons telling us that they had a plan organised....it took a gun barrel to the germans head to actually agree to funds for greece...Merkels party has just lost the majority in the upper house...you think that just like that they will agree to ante up for another wad of cash for any other eurozone nation who couldnt, wouldnt and didnt manage their economies correctly... Same goes with the US.. you really think the US congress is going to give the IMF that much money to save the europeans,,,,,not gunna happen.

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  18. Bear is right, worst of all nothing in this EU package stops Greece defaulting.

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  19. Yeh, I just keep getting this feeling that a manged default or debt restructuring as they like to refer to it will come before one cent is passed to the Greeks also in regards to the Euro ol Jaime over at forexlive does have a point... if the ECB tries to intervene it will have to be an absolute corker of a bout otherwise we will be back in the teens before they can say bid out.But I very much doubt we see them until we see 1.25 again

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  20. I don't think they care about the EUR value as much as the bond yields. It just smells like another bailout of the banks holding Greek/Portuguese/Spanish paper to me. Jamie's piece about the IMF contribution being notional is scary. What if it is all notional and there isn't really any money.

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